![]() I lean to the under on 8.5 wins at +115 odds. I don't think it's fair to act like the Vikings had nothing to do with their 13 wins last season, but it's hard to deny the stats. However, the Vikings to not make the playoffs is -140 (yes on the playoffs is +115). Bettors do like the over, which is up to -140 odds. The Vikings' win total is 8.5 at BetMGM, which is 4.5 wins short of their total from last season. They have all those advanced stats available too. Sportsbooks are smart and they don't give away money. Whatever you think about Cousins, it's not changing. Those who think he has been pretty good wonder why his comeback wins are ignored and his stats are dismissed as something frivolous, like plenty of yards and touchdowns don't help the Vikings. Those who believe he stinks will never be convinced otherwise, unless he wins a Super Bowl. It's not worth debating Kirk Cousins anymore. It's hard to feel like the Vikings are better, though maybe there's something to be said about making the roster younger. Drafting receiver Jordan Addison in the first round was wise but he was the only top-100 pick the team had. Cornerback Byron Murphy and defensive end Marcus Davenport were signed and could pay off. Oliver is a good in-line blocker, and the Vikings thought that's worth $7 million a year. The big signing was tight end Josh Oliver at $21 million over three years, which seemed like a lot. Running back Dalvin Cook's strong run with the Vikings ended when he was cut. Pass rusher Za'Darius Smith was traded to the Browns and the Vikings got a couple of late-round pick swaps in return. Receiver Adam Thielen is on the decline, but it was a bummer seeing his feel-good story with Minnesota end when he signed with the Carolina Panthers. The defense also lost cornerback Patrick Peterson and linebacker Eric Kendricks, a couple of solid veterans. The Cleveland Browns thought defensive tackle Dalvin Tomlinson was worth $57 million over four years. ![]() It's just going to be hard to do it again this season. It was a fun, historic season for the Vikings. Jefferson is one of the most thrilling players in the sport and it was good to see him recognized as the best receiver in football. The division title was their first since 2017. Only one other Vikings team ever topped the 13 wins the 2022 team collected. The comeback against the Colts has a place in NFL history. The Vikings should be proud of last season. Justin Jefferson won NFL Offensive Player of the Year last season. ![]() It's not like we can start with a 13-4 record as the foundation for predicting what the Vikings will be this season. All the talk of the Vikings being lucky seemed to be justified.ĭowngrading the 2022 Vikings and their accomplishments isn't fair - wins and losses still should matter, and there's something to be said about the Vikings having the mental toughness to win so many close games - but it is relevant to the 2023 team. There were a lot of victory laps when the Vikings lost at home to the New York Giants in a wild-card playoff game. The Vikings kept winning games, and social media kept reminding them their team was a fraud. It had to be exhausting for Vikings fans. In FO's estimated wins metric, the Vikings profiled as a 6.3-win team. Minnesota ranked 27th in Football Outsiders' DVOA. No other 12-win team in NFL history was outscored over the season, much less a 13-win team. They had a minus-3 point differential, which is unfathomable for a team that was nine games over. ![]() They were an unbelievable 11-0 in regular-season games decided by eight points or less, including a record-setting comeback against the Indianapolis Colts when they trailed 33-0 at halftime. Vikings fans were reminded constantly last season that their team wasn't as good as its 13-4 record. We get that just because a team won 13 games, that doesn't mean it was dominant. Any advanced stat you want is a click away. ![]() We understand that point differential can help predict future performance. Years ago, Minnesota Vikings fans could have enjoyed their 13-win season in peace.įor better or worse, everyone is smarter now when it comes to analyzing football. ![]()
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